某三甲医院开颅手术手术部位感染影响因素及预测模型的建立
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重庆市人民医院医院感染控制处, 重庆 401147

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Influencing factors and establishment of prediction model for surgical site infection following craniotomy in a tertiary first-class hospital
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Department of Healthcare-associated Infection Control, Chongqing General Hospital, Chongqing 401147, China

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    摘要:

    目的 探讨开颅手术手术部位感染(SSI)情况及影响因素,提出干预措施,并建立预测模型。 方法 回顾性调查2020年某三甲医院神经外科开颅手术患者,分析开颅手术SSI影响因素,建立预测模型,使用2021年上半年数据进行模型验证。 结果 203例开颅手术患者中SSI发病率为17.73%,多因素logistic回归分析显示5项因素是开颅手术SSI的独立影响因素:围手术期使用H2受体阻断剂、使用糖皮质激素、合理使用抗菌药物,患有糖尿病,手术时间≥180 min。建立SSI风险预测模型(AUC=0.818),其评分截点值为3.5,≥3.5分时SSI发病率高,验证准确率为85.19%,验证效果好(χ2=24.279,P<0.001)。 结论 开颅手术患者SSI发病率较高,围手术期合理应用抗菌药物和保护性使用H2受体阻断剂能降低SSI;手术时间长、患有糖尿病和围手术期使用糖皮质激素是SSI独立的危险因素。以其SSI独立影响因素建立的开颅手术SSI风险预测模型,预测准确率高。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the occurrence and influencing factors of surgical site infection (SSI) following craniotomy, put forward intervention measures and establish a risk prediction model. Methods Patients undergoing craniotomy in a tertiary first-class hospital in 2020 were surveyed retrospectively, influencing factors for SSI follo-wing craniotomy were analyzed, risk prediction model was established, and the model was verified with the data in the first half of 2021. Results Incidence of SSI among 203 cases of craniotomy was 17.73%, multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that 5 factors were independent factors influencing SSI following craniotomy: peri-operative use of H2 receptor blockers and glucocorticoids, rational use of antimicrobial agents, diabetes mellitus, and operation time ≥180 minutes. The SSI risk prediction model (AUC=0.818) was established, and the cut-off point value of the score was 3.5, incidence of SSI was high when score ≥3.5, the verified accuracy rate was 85.19%, and the verification effect was good(χ2=24.279, P < 0.001). Conclusion Patients undergoing craniotomy have a higher incidence of SSI, peri-operative use of antimicrobial agents and protective use of H2 receptor blockers can reduce SSI; long operation time, diabetes mellitus and peri-operative use of glucocorticoids are independent risk factors for SSI. The risk prediction model of SSI in craniotomy based on its independent influencing factors has high prediction accuracy.

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陈音汁,周明川,钟贞,等.某三甲医院开颅手术手术部位感染影响因素及预测模型的建立[J]. 中国感染控制杂志,2022,(5):455-461. DOI:10.12138/j. issn.1671-9638.20222122.
Yin-zhi CHEN, Ming-chuan ZHOU, Zhen ZHONG, et al. Influencing factors and establishment of prediction model for surgical site infection following craniotomy in a tertiary first-class hospital[J]. Chin J Infect Control, 2022,(5):455-461. DOI:10.12138/j. issn.1671-9638.20222122.

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  • 收稿日期:2021-11-10
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  • 在线发布日期: 2024-04-28
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