Construction of early warning model of lower respiratory tract infection in chemotherapy tumor patients based on SMOTE algorithm
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1.Department of Infection Management, Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital, Xining 810007, China;2.Department of Oncology, Qinghai Provincial People's Hospital, Xining 810007, China;3.Department of Infection, Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University, Xining 810007, China

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    Abstract:

    Objective To construct the early warning model of lower respiratory tract (LRT) infection in chemotherapy tumor patients based on synthetic minority over-sampling technique (SMOTE) algorithm. Methods 2 384 tumor patients treated with chemotherapy in 4 tertiary hospitals in Xining City from January 2019 to June 2021 were investigated, patients were randomly divided into modeling group (n=1 668) and validation group (n=716) accor-ding to the ratio of 7:3, data of modeling group was used to construct the model, data of validation group was used to verify the constructed model, influencing factors for LRT infection were screened by univariate comparison and logistic regression analysis, the early warning model of LRT infection of chemotherapy tumor patients was constructed based on SMOTE algorithm. Results Logistic regression analysis showed that age (x1), whether body mass index was normal (BMI, x2), stage of malignant tumor (x3), smoking history (x4), combined diabetes mellitus (x5) and combined pulmonary disease (x6) were all risk factors for LRT infection in chemotherapy tumor patients (all P < 0.01), the original data warning model: Logit (P)=0.055x1+0.967x2-0.195x3+1.383x4+0.968x5+0.939x6-14.073 and early warning model based on SMOTE algorithm: Logit(P)=0.090x1+1.092x2-0.249x3+1.724x4+1.136x5+1.344x6-14.859 were obtained. The AUC of early warning model based on SMOTE algorithm was higher than original data warning model (0.949[95%CI: 0.937-0.961] vs 0.780[95%CI: 0.734-0.846]). Conclusion The early warning model based on SMOTE algorithm can more accurately warn LRT infection in chemotherapy tumor patients, and effectively solve the warning error caused by the imbalance of the sample data of infected and non-infected patients, the corresponding countermeasures can be selected based on the warning model.

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王梅英,杨敏,刘佳微,等.基于SMOTE算法的化疗肿瘤患者下呼吸道感染预警模型构建[J].中国感染控制杂志英文版,2021,(12):1094-1101. DOI:10.12138/j. issn.1671-9638.20211135.
Mei-ying WANG, Min YANG, Jia-wei LIU, et al. Construction of early warning model of lower respiratory tract infection in chemotherapy tumor patients based on SMOTE algorithm[J]. Chin J Infect Control, 2021,(12):1094-1101. DOI:10.12138/j. issn.1671-9638.20211135.

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  • Received:July 05,2021
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  • Online: April 26,2024
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